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December 6, 2010 By

Monday Night Football: New York Jets visit New England Patriots

New York Jets at New England Patriots
Favorite: New England -4
O/U: 45

5-0 on the road for the Jets vs. 5-0 at home for the Pats. Chilly and windy tonight. Tonight will be an uncomfortable game on both sides of the ball and the only side that really wins is the wind – with gusts forecasted to top 30 mph. New England, behind Brady, famously don’t have a stellar running game. BenJarvis Green-Ellis is known as much for his mulitple silabolic name as he is his rushing attack, and team leading 9 touchdowns. Brady will be Brady, and as the NFL continues to crack down on the violence of the games, holes will still open up in the secondary.

For the Jets, it has been ugly the last few weeks, squeaking by Detroit and Houston. Laying a goose egg against Detroit, and now the latest with the loss of safety Jim Leonhard to a broken leg. A gaping hole in the secondary against the NFL’s golden child of the quarterback class. But offensive profiency isn’t something that gets bandied around often when talking about the Jets. Sanchez is prone to mistakes, despite being able to keep the turnovers in check through most of the season.

The Pat are also on a roll since a rather embarrasing loss to Cleveland. Tonight is a divisional battle and the weather is a great equalizer and I sense a low-scoring affair. I also like the Jets to keep this close, especially since they’ve proven they can play the Patriots successfully after their 28-14 win early in the season. The rushing game will be important tonight, and the edge is with the Jets.

Take New York Jets +4
Take the UNDER (45)

——–
My apologies for my absence, had to take care of some family & business matters. My schedule is still spotty through the end of the year, but I’ll try to keep the picks going or at least alert you when I’ll be off the grid.

Filed Under: NFL Football

 

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November 5, 2010 By

No College Picks this weekend

Business travel this week and haven’t had proper time to do my analysis. There is a slim chance I’ll have NFL on Sunday morning, but if not, I’ll be back with Monday Night Football.

My apologies for any inconveniences.

Filed Under: Site News
November 1, 2010 By

Free MNF Pick: Houston at Indianapolis

Tight game tonight with Houston visiting Indianapolis and the Colts trying to avenge their opening weekend loss to the Texans. The Colts are beaten up this season and without the services of Austin Collie and Dallas Clarke. Adding to the troubles are the hamstrings of both Pierre Garcon and Reggie Wayne. Fortunately both Garcon and Wayne made it through weekend workouts and are pretty much set on going at full speed.

Texas has their share of injuries as well, but that shouldn’t slow them down tonight. What is worrisome is how porous the Texan’s defense has become.

I expect the Colts will come out with plan to prevent Arian Foster from doing what he did in week 1. But there will be offense-a-plenty.

Take Indianapolis -5 v. Houston
Take the OVER (51)

Filed Under: NFL Football Tagged With: ,
October 31, 2010 By

Free NFL Picks on Halloween

Three sides and three totals for Free NFL picks on Sunday, October 31.

Sides:
Take St. Louis -2 v. Carolina
Take Washington +1.5 at Detroit
Take Pittsburgh +1 at New Orleans

Totals:
Take the OVER (46) Buffalo at Kansas City
Take the OVER (42) Green Bay at New York Jets
Take the OVER (44.5) Tennessee at San Diego

Filed Under: Uncategorized
October 29, 2010 By

Free College Football Picks for 10/30/10

Beat down last week by Nebraska, Oklahoma State proved they have a high-powered offense, but fell short on the defensive side of the ball. Kansas State is a Dr. Jeckyll Mr. Hyde type of team. They lack consistency on the defensive side of the ball which make this game a track meet. The Cowboys will be looking to avenge their loss last week and stay in contention in the Big 12 South.

Take Oklahoma State -4.5 at Kansas State

Auburn Alumn Bo Jackson has already sent in his Heisman ballot for Auburn QB Cam Newton. The Tigers likely will have a bit of let down coming off of a big win over LSU last week but Ole Miss is on the last leg of three-straight games against Top-20 opponents.

Take Auburn -7 at Mississippi

Denard Robinson coming off of a bye week against a Penn State team in a down season getting blown away by a strong running game. The Wolverines are only a couple defensive playmakers away from being a Big 10 threat again and I see an easy 7+ point win.

Take Michigan -3 at Penn State

Filed Under: College Football
October 29, 2010 By

Free College Picks – Running Late

Stuck in meetings all afternoon. Free College Picks will be posted late tonight. Follow me on Twitter @football_picks or subscribe to the RSS feed to be notified when my picks are posted.

My apologies for any inconveniences.

Filed Under: Site News
October 25, 2010 By

Free MNF Pick: New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys

The Giants head to Jerryville, bringing with them a renewed outlook on the season as they’ve managed to correct the offensive issues that plagued them in their first 3 games averaging over 26 points per game over the last three vs. an average of 18 over the first three games. Defensively, they are believers in their new defensive set and that will the play the spoiler the more they get used to it.

Dallas is a team in trouble. 1-4 to start the season. Admittedly, their record may be a misnomer as four of their five opponents are leading (or in a virtual bye-week tie) their respective division. The offense behind Tony Romo is decent, but turnovers have plagued the ‘boys this year.

I think the Giants defense will hold the Cowbow offense in check and might even sneak away with the straight-up win. New York 31 – Dallas 24

Take New York Giants +3.5 at Dallas
Take the OVER (45.5)

Filed Under: NFL Football Tagged With: , , ,
October 24, 2010 By

Free NFL Picks for 10/24/2010

Taking a different approach in the NFL this weekend, building on my picks from last week as I sat on the sideline without any wagers.

Sides:
Take Pittsburgh -3 at Miami
Roethlisberger looked fairly sharp in his return last week, combined with Pittsburgh being 2-0 on the road and Miami being 0-2 at home. Also, Pittsburgh +9 in turnovers compared to -3 for Miami.

Take St. Louis +3 at Tampa Bay
St. Louis defense will give Freeman some trouble this week. The Bucs defense has some holes against the run and I like the Rams ability to get the running game going. The Rams haven’t travelled well this season, but the Bucs have faltered at home. I like St. Louis straight up.

Take Minnesota +3 at Green Bay
The Vikings took both games last year by 7 at home and 12 at Green Bay. The Packers should have the edge, but injuries have taken their toll on this team offensively. I think Adrian Peterson and Randy Moss will be the difference, but I also expect Favre to get knocked around. Since this is the Sunday Night game, I’m taking a wait and see approach pending my early game wagers; If I’m down on the day, I’ll pass on this game, if I’m up, I’ll be playing.

Totals:
Cincinnati at Atlanta – Take the UNDER 43
Jacksonville at Kansas City – Take the OVER 37.5
Oakland at Denver – Take the OVER 43

Leans:
Take New England +3 at San Diego
A lot of smart money on this game and the books aren’t moving it off of 3. Bodog is now -140 for the +3. Might still play this game after I see how my early game wagers are looking and/or the juice comes down.

Buffalo at Baltimore – Take the OVER 40.5
My projections have this game at a total of 45-57, but this is Buffalo against the Ravens stellar defense and my gut feel goes against the math so I’m staying on the sidelines.

Filed Under: NFL Football Tagged With: ,
October 22, 2010 By

UFC 121 Odds & Picks

UFC 121 Odds – current as of 1:00am ET (courtesy of Bodog.com)
Brock Lesnar -160 v. Cain Velasquez +130
Jake Shields -220 v. Martin Kampmann +180
Diego Sanchez -105 v. Paulo Thiago -125
Tito Ortiz +140 v. Matt Hamill -170
Brendan Schaub +125 v. Gabriel Gonzaga -155
Court McGee -250 v. Ryan Jensen +195
Patrick Cote -175 v. Tom Lawlor +145
Mike Guymon +115 v. Daniel Roberts -145
Sam Stout -200 v. Paul Taylor +160
Jon Madsen -220 v. Gilbert Yvel +180
Chris Camozzi -105 v. Dongi Yang -125

UFC 121 Picks
Take Lesnar -160
Take Shields -220
Take Thiago -125
Take Hamill -170
Take Schaub +125
Take McGee -250
Take Lawlor +145
Take Guymon +115
Take Stout -200
Take Madsen -220
Take Camozzi -105

My UFC 121 Wagers
Take Lesnar -160
Take Schaub +125
Take Thiago -125
Take Guymon +115

Filed Under: MMA Tagged With: ,
October 22, 2010 By

Free College Football Picks for 10/23/2010

argh. Lost my write-ups in the copy paste process. Here’s the picks, and I’ll get the write-ups rewritten shortly.

Sorry about the write-up issue. I’ve rewritten from my notes. Not as polished as they were. Don’t forget to backup your data (or at least don’t Cut from your text file and hit save, get distracted and mistakenly copy something fresh in your clipboard before you had the chance to paste).

The Baylor Bears are playing for one thing, a bowl game. With Kansas State coming to town they are primed to do it. K-State rebounded from the beat down they received to Nebraska to pummel a very, very bad Kansas team 59-7 last week. Baylor is decent against the run which should hold the Wildcats to the teens on offense. Robert Griffin is a terrific QB and can beat you on the ground or in the air.

Take Baylor -6.5 v. Kansas State

Nebraska got knocked off in a grudge match last week at the hands of Texas, but we’ve seen the Huskers in a similar sport before when they traveled to Washington earlier in the season. I think Taylor Martinez bounces back and Nebraska makes a statement that last week’s game was a fluke. Oklahoma State is unbeaten on the season, but their lack of defense will hurt them here. OSU is also played anyone of relative strength this year and is in for a smashing.

Take Nebraska -5.5 at Oklahoma State

I just don’t buy LSU this year. Sure they’ve snaked past 3 ranked opponents on the season and they have a tough defense that is only giving up 83.6 yards per game on the ground. But of those three top-25 wins, two are gone from the list. Auburn is an offensive machine and while they haven’t needed to go to the air that much to win this season, they have the ability in Cam Newton who is completing 65.6% of his passes and averaging over 125 rushing yards per game. My numbers project in the range of 35-20 every way I’ve gone at it.

Take Auburn -6 v. LSU

I have a fourth game on the cards this week with Texas Tech. Colorado continues to be bad, and it looks like coach Dan Hawkins will be out at the end of the year. I think they’ve already thrown in the towel and are looking for a fresh start in the PAC-10(12)

Take Texas Tech -3 at Colorado

Filed Under: College Football Tagged With: ,
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