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September 17, 2010 By

Friday Night Lights – College Football

I’m really looking forward to the Cal at Nevada game. One of the most versatile offenses behind Nevada quarterback Colin Kaepernick goes up against the rugged Cal defense who is only giving up 160 yards of total offense per game. I expect this to be a fun game to watch. A win by Nevada with an impressive performance by Kapernick could launch him into the Heisman talk.

In early game, Kansas goes on the road to battle Southern Miss. Kansas holds both the best Big12 win of the year and the worst Big12 loss of the year. Impressive considering they are only two games in to the season. Much of the public is putting their money on Southern Miss simply because of Kansas’ inconsistent play and the hangover of their big upset last week.

For the official GridIronPicks.com picks (in order of strength):
Take the OVER (66) Cal at Nevada
Take Kansas +5.5 at Southern Miss
Take Nevada +2 v. Cal

2010 Season Football Results (thru 9/16):
NCAA: 4-4-1, -0.50 Units, 50%
All NFL: 5-3-1, +1.70 Units, 62.5%
MNF-specific: 3-1, +1.90 Units, 75%

Filed Under: College Football Tagged With: , , , , ,

 

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September 16, 2010 By

Thursday Night College Football

Not too jived about this game tonight, but North Carolina State is the play. Would have been a much better pick at +3 early in the week, but the money has flopped it to -2. If you have multiple accounts, hunt around, some -1, -1.5 lines can still be found. None-the-less, until Butch Jones can right the ship in his first year as head coach following the departure of Brian Kelley, I don’t have any confidence on Cincy.

Take NC State -2 v. Cincinnati

In review from last couple of days. Down night in the UFC last night. Palhares laid down trying to protest and got hammered. Finish your fight, then protest.

Running a 2 game, +3 unit win streak in MLB right now, baseball picks have been posted to my twitter feed: @football_picks, follow me if you are so inclined and hit me up with @ message to say hi.

2010 Season Football Results:
NCAA: 3-4-1, -1.50 Units, 42.8%
All NFL: 5-3-1, +1.70 Units, 62.5%
MNF-specific: 3-1, +1.90 Units, 75%

Filed Under: College Football Tagged With: , , , , , ,
September 15, 2010 By

UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs. Palhares

palhares_marquardtUFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs. Palhares

Current Odds
as of 3:45pm EDT from betus.com
Rousimar Palhares +200 v. Nate Marquardt -250
Efrain Escudero -165 v. Charles Oliveira +125
Gleison Tibau +120 v. Jim Miller -150
Cole Miller +210 v. Ross Pearson -280
John Gunderson -135 v. Yves Edwards +105
Kyle Kingsbury +150 v. Jared Hamman -180
Dave Branch +140 v. Tomasz Drwal -170
Rich Attonito +150 v. Rafael Natal -180
Anthony Waldburger +160 v. David Mitchel -200
Forrest Petz +220 v. Brian Foster -300

GridIronPicks.com Official Picks:
Take Rousimar Palhares +200
Take Efrain Escudero -165
Take Jim Miller -150
Take Ross Pearson -280
Take John Gunderson -135
Take Kyle Kingsbury +150
Take Dave Branch +140
Take Rich Attonito +150
Take David Mitchel -200
Take Brian foster -300

GridIronPicks.com Official Wagers:
Going light tonight, single unit plays but will be doubling up units on Palhares, if I hit on Miller and Branch fights
Take Palhares Palhares +200
Take Efrain Escudero -165
Take Jim Miller -150
Take Dave Branch +140

Filed Under: MMA Tagged With: , ,
September 14, 2010 By

Weekend Recap

I suffered a bit in college football. Kansas rebounded from the worst loss in school history to upend Georgia Tech. Oklahoma jumped up and bit Florida State, over and over again. The Big12 is usually my strongest conference, but given this is week 2, I’m not really concerned. For the weekend I was 1-2 with two plays being 2 unit plays. Down -1.30 units on the week, and to a down -1.50 units on the season. Some good games on the board this week, let’s try and push this number positive.

I started out week 1 of the NFL on down note on Thursday with a loss on the Over and a push on the side. I recovered on Sunday with a 2-1 day and found the green on Monday night going 3-1 on side and total of the combined Monday Night games.

I expected a slow start from San Diego, but was taken aback by the improvement of Kansas City’s defense and their Special Teams resurgence, lost the side but still took home the under. Results of the week: 5-3-1, good for +1.7 units on the weekend and starting out with a win percentage of 62.5% after dropping the push.

I Tweeted a baseball pick today if that is your cup of tea and will try to sprinkle a few more here and there as the season winds down.

2010 Season Results:
NCAA: 3-4-1, -1.50 Units, 42.8%
All NFL: 5-3-1, +1.70 Units, 62.5%
MNF-specific: 3-1, +1.90 Units, 75%

Filed Under: College Football, MLB, NFL Football Tagged With: , ,
September 13, 2010 By

Monday Night Football Picks – Week 1

Monday Night Football – Early Game
Baltimore Ravens at New York Jets
Favorite: New York Jets -1.5 (opened -3)
O/U: 36

The Ravens still have a world-class defense, but will feel the strain without safety Ed Reed. However, QB Joe Flacco now has options and the addition of Boldin and Houshmanzadeh will help balance Ray Rice’s running game.

Mark Sanchez has been less than sharp in the pre-season and the strong Jet defense doesn’t have the depth it has had in the past. Getting Darrelle Revis back will help the secondary, but I don’t see him at 100% just quite yet. Sure the cornerback spot is made up of athletics and reaction/response, but lacking the preseason experience this year might open up a play two to his side that would have been broken up last year. Give him a couple weeks and he’ll be right back in the mix.

I see Baltimore with a straight up win, 17-13 to ruin the Jet’s home opener.

Take Baltimore +1.5
Take the UNDER (36)

Monday Night Football – Late Game
San Diego Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs
Favorite: San Diego Chargers -4.5
O/U: 44.5

San Diego, losing LT in the offseason, Marcus McNeill and Vincent Jackson are holding out. But still, the Chargers have a prolific air attack with Philip Rivers, and rookie RB Ryan Mathews had a solid performance in the preseaon. I don’t think the Chargers are where they need to be for the season, but against Kansas City that may be enough.

The Chief’s are trying to become the Midwest Patriots having brought in Todd Haley last year, and with him, QB Matt Cassel. In the off-season, failed Notre Dame head coach and former architect of the Patriot offense, Charlie Weis was brought in. Is Kansas City turning the corner? Perhaps, but last year San Diego beat KC by 30 points and by 29 points.

Like I said, I don’t think San Diego is where they need to be, but if they are half as efficient against KC tonight as they were last year, this is still a 15 point game. I see a San Diego win at 23-16.

Take San Diego -4.5
Take the UNDER (44.5)

2010 Season Results:
NCAA: 3-4-1, -1.50 Units
NFL: 2-2-1, -.2 Units

Filed Under: NFL Football Tagged With: , , , , , , , , , , ,
September 12, 2010 By

Free NFL picks for 9/12/10

Opening weekend in the NFL. Single unit plays on the following. Remember both side and total available for both Monday Night Football games will be on the site by 2:00 pm EDT on Monday.

To the picks:
Take Indianapolis -1 at Houston
Take Jacksonville -1.5 v. Denver
Take Miami -3 at Buffalo

2010 Season Results:
NCAA: 3-4-1, -1.30 units
NFL: 0-1-1, -1.00 unit

Filed Under: NFL Football Tagged With: , , , , , , , , , , , , ,
September 10, 2010 By

Free College Picks for 9/11/2010

No skin in Friday night action. Free NFL picks will be on the site tomorrow afternoon. Subscribe to RSS feed, or follow @football_picks on Twitter for easy notification

In Saturday play:
Take LSU -10 at Vanderbilt (2 unit play)
Take Georgia Tech -13.5 at Kansas (2 unit play)
Take Florida State +7 at Oklahoma

Answering a couple email and Twitter questions, but not official picks:
I like Michigan +3.5 at Notre Dame
I like Iowa State +13.5 at Iowa
I like Nevada -23.5 v. Colorado State

2010 Season Results:
NCAA: 2-2-1, -.02 units
NFL: 0-1-1, -1.00 unit

Filed Under: College Football Tagged With: , , , , , , , , , , , , ,
September 9, 2010 By

Vikings – Saints | Thursday Night NFL Opener

A rematch of last year’s NFC championship game. Injuries hampering the Vikes to start the season. Saints unveiling the Super Bowl Championship banner.

Take New Orleans Saints -5 v. Minnesota (2-Unit play!)
Take the OVER (48.5)

The Total has dropped from an opening 51.5, on the worries of the banged up Minnesota receiveing crew. I counter that with the pourous Saints defense and the Vikes should be able to put up 21 on them without much issue. I’m projecting a 33-21 win by New Orleans. Also, the Saints are 10-0 in their last 10 season openers.

Odds accurate from BetUs.com as of 11:00am EDT

2010 Season Results:
NCAA: 2-2-1, -.02 units
NFL: 0-0-0, Even

Filed Under: NFL Football Tagged With: , , , , ,
September 3, 2010 By

Free College Picks – 9/4/10

I don’t usually like to jump right in to the first weekend of college ball with a full slate, but there are a couple games on the board I like.

Take Notre Dame -11 v. Purdue
Brian Kelly needs to make a statement in his coach debut and I think the Irish will be out to do it.

Take the UNDER (51.5) Western Kentucky at Nebraska
Questions still remain on the Huskers offense, but the defense is clearly back. This will be one-sided, and WKU will be lucky to get points on the board. The Husker’s over 50 by themselves? I’m not convinced.

Take Oregon State +13.5 at TCU
Don’t underestimate the Horned Frogs, but the Beavers love to play spoiler. I wouldn’t be shocked by a straight-up win by Oregon State, but certainly expect a close game if TCU does win.

Single units, all three games.

Running Results:
1-1-0
-.1 units

Filed Under: College Football Tagged With: , , , , , , ,
September 2, 2010 By

What’s Up With GridIronPicks.com

Bad News First:
No premium pick packages to start the 2010 season. I made a decision a couple weeks ago to provide trends & research on a contract basis to an online casino and to a relatively well known sports handicapping service. I’m not becoming a “personality,” not giving definitive picks and I don’t have a stake in their take, so the “who” is inconsequential.

Now the Good News:
While I’m not having season premium packages, I will be having occasional single game and weekend packages.

I’ll also still have free picks each and every weekend, including tonight:

Take USC -18 at Hawaii, and throw a unit on the Over (51)

And there is Monday Night Football. I’ll be giving away every single Monday Night Football pick in 2010. How big of a deal is that? Over the last 8 seasons, I am a combined 76% on the Monday Night side.

So really, what is the real scoop?
I’ve always been willing to share information about sports handicapping, the gambling industry, and other business endeavors as many of my long-time customers will attest to. GridIronPicks.com has always been a labor of love, but always just a side project. I’m also working towards a bigger goal and that is grassroots campaigning to get the online gambling ban reversed. Until I find my balance, I’d much rather focus on the research/trends/picks and set the site maintenance and customer service aspects to the side until I can find a balance.

Like I said, this site has always been a labor of love and I’ll still be here. Comments or questions? Feel free to hit me up via tristan@gridironpicks.com or twitter at twitter.com/football_picks.

Filed Under: Site News Tagged With: , , ,
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