I’ve had two decent days in college football, going 2-1 on Friday night and 2-1 in the day games on Saturday. Positive units are always welcome.
First up on Sunday, Kansas City visits Cleveland in a short week road game. Clearly things are starting to look up in Kansas City as their cover on Monday was my only losing wager on MNF. Generally, I’m kind of adverse from taking a team in the week after they handed me a loss, but I’m making an exception this week. QB Matt Cassel wasn’t impressive, but he kept the Chargers D off balance enough to get yardage from Jamaal Charles and Thomas Jones. Defensively, they are vastly improved, not only from a skill standpoint, but also speed. Then there is the special teams squad that made San Diego look silly.
Cleveland is Cleveland, and now with Jake Delhomme out, bringing Seneca Wallace a start at QB. I project a straight-win by KC, so getting points is gravy.
Take Kansas City +3 at Cleveland
Baltimore stepped up and took away the home opening win by Jets as I called it. But it was a battle. The Ravens left receivers open in the second half but Mark Sanchez couldn’t take advantage of it. Flacco was efficient, but the offense was fairly vanilla as we’ve come to expect around Flacco; while Ray Rice was held in check
Cincy showed composure and tried to fight back after going down early to New England. They say the biggest change in a team in the NFL happens between Week 1 and Week 2, and with Cincy, I think OchoCinco and TO are going to find their way. Carson Palmer started slow last week but found his rhythm late; he’ll continue this week. I do see a straight-up win by Cincinnati here today, so just like the KC game, the points are gravy.
Take Cincinnati +2.5 v. Baltimore
I’m not sure what is going on with Arizona but I don’t like the look of where they are headed. Kurt Warner departed to try his hand at ballroom dance. Leinart was sent packing and Derek Anderson was given the starting nod. Beanie Wells is a game-time decision, leaving roughly the same team than squeaked by St. Louis last week.
Atlanta is also banged up, with late word out that WR Micheal Jenkins is a no-go. QB Matt Ryan couldn’t get things going and RB Michael Turner spun his wheels on 19 carries only gaining 42 yards. I think the line is high, but not enough to take the dog. Low scoring is my projection, in the neighborhood of 20-13 by ATL, and with the total at 43; I like the UNDER play.
Take the UNDER (43) Arizona at Atlanta
I had some solid leans this week as well, and may convert these to plays depending line movements, but here they are for your handicapping help:
- Seattle +3 at Denver (wondering if SEA’s offense was fluke last week)
- Houston -3 at Washington (remove mistakes and Dallas should have won, Houston has talent)
- New York Jets +3 v. New England (questions on Jet’s containment of Welker)
2010 Season Football Results (one late game pending on 9/18):
NCAA: 8-6-1, +1.20 Units*, 57%
All NFL: 5-3-1, +1.70 Units, 62.5%
MNF-specific: 3-1, +1.90 Units, 75%
*double unit loss on UConn factored in.

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